Will Biden's Approval Rating Fall Below 50? Why and Why Not

The current approval ratings of President Joe Biden have been a topic of extensive debate. Some argue that his lowest-ever poll results indicate an impending fall below 50%, while others believe that he will bounce back. This article aims to explore the reasons behind these differing opinions and provide insights into why his approval rating may—or may not—fall below 50.

Reasons for Potential Decline in Approval Rating

Switch to the Republican Party: Some Democrats who have left their party cite dissatisfaction with the progressive agenda, including the push for woke culture and policies that they believe have led to a series of college riots and social unrest. Education and Campus Riots: The takeover of universities by left-leaning professors and administrators who promote anti-authority and anti-traditional views is seen as a failure of the education system. The riots and unrest at college campuses highlight the growing dissatisfaction among the public. Economic Factors: While the U.S. has a strong economy, Democrats face pressure from voters who compare current prices to those during the 'Trump Pandemic' era, when inflation was not yet a factor. Democrats argue that without this historical comparison, the economy appears much better. Advocacy for Agricultural Policies: There have been concerns raised regarding the potential impact of Biden's agricultural policies, which might lead to food shortages and higher prices, especially among small farmers and gardeners who rely on local produce. The narrative that these policies could bring about a dystopian future has gained traction. Political Challenges in International Relations: Biden is caught in a difficult position in Gaza, as any decision he makes could alienate some of his supporters. Giving full support to Israel could be seen as inconsistent with his moral and humanitarian values, while limiting military support could be perceived as not being strong enough. Elderly President: Biden's age and health concerns make him a target for opposition, and critics point out that he is growing older and may not be fit to govern effectively.

Reasons for No Decline in Approval Rating

Democratic Party Loyalty: A significant number of Democrats remain loyal to their party leader, despite growing dissatisfaction with certain aspects of his policies. Positive Economic Trends: While inflation remains a concern, Democrats highlight other positive economic indicators, such as job growth, wage increases, and a robust recovery from the pandemic recession. Global Pandemic Context: Comparing current price levels to those during the peak of the pandemic can be challenging, as supply chain issues, reduced production, and decreased consumer spending created a volatile economic landscape. Healthcare and Social Security: Policies aimed at improving healthcare and social security have helped maintain support among the elderly and middle class, key demographics that are crucial for Biden's success. Endorsement of Progressive Policies: While some may question progressive policies, many Democrats believe in the importance of addressing systemic issues, such as climate change and social justice, which are high priorities for them.

Conclusion

The future of President Biden's approval rating is not yet determined. While there are valid reasons for potential decline, such as growing dissatisfaction with educational policies, economic challenges, and political positioning, there are also reasons to believe it may remain stable or even improve. The question ultimately depends on the ability of the Biden administration to address these concerns and maintain public trust and support.