Why the New York Mets Didn’t Deploy Jacob deGrom or Max Scherzer in Game 3

The New York Mets, facing elimination in their Game 3 against the San Diego Padres, did not use star pitchers Jacob deGrom or Max Scherzer. This decision might seem counterintuitive, given their recent performances and the high stakes of the game. However, there are several compelling reasons behind this move.

The Limits of Pitcher Fatigue and Arduous Workloads

On Friday, Max Scherzer threw 80 pitches, and on Saturday, Jacob deGrom threw 99 pitches in their respective starts. While their performances were not up to par, it is important to understand the physical demands placed on pitchers in Major League Baseball (MLB).

MLB pitchers typically throw every 4 to 6 days, depending on the rotation and team. This schedule, designed over years of experience, ensures that pitchers can maintain peak performance and avoid long-term injuries. The demands of pitching, especially in high-stakes games, can be immense. Even seasoned veterans like deGrom and Scherzer, who are incredibly talented, would struggle to maintain the necessary level of performance with such reduced rest.

The Modern Approach to Pitcher Training

The way pitchers train and recover has evolved over the years. Traditionally, pitchers would throw complete games and often start on shorter rest. However, the modern approach, influenced by advances in rehabilitation and recovery techniques, prioritizes maintaining long-term health as much as immediate performance. Longer, more consistent, and less stressful outings are now preferred over quick bursts of intense pitching.

Even top-tier pitchers like these are not invincible. Jacob deGrom, for instance, was sidelined in 2021 due to throwing his arm out, requiring a modified pitching rotation. Continuing to push deGrom's arm could lead to serious long-term damage, especially with the substantial financial commitment the Mets have made to him. If deGrom were to suffer a severe injury, the Mets would still owe him over 60 million dollars in two years, making it a heavy financial risk.

The Risks and Rewards: Financial and Factual Considerations

While Steve Cohen, the Mets' owner, is financially able to absorb additional financial commitments, the team must weigh the risks of short-term success against long-term sustainability. Throwing deGrom or Scherzer into a game with just one or two days of rest would likely have backfired, potentially leading to further arm strain or injury. A single inning or two from either pitcher would not have provided the necessary support to secure victory, further emphasizing the need for careful strategic planning.

Japanese Pitchers and the NPB’s Approach

One alternative some might consider is pitchers raised in Japan, particularly those from the Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB). The NPB emphasizes throwing hundreds of pitches per start, supposedly building greater strength and durability in pitchers. While the long-term benefits of this training method are debated, Yu Darvish and Shohei Ohtani have demonstrated impressive performances, even when pitching on short rest.

Yu Darvish and Ohtani, both of whom have experience playing in the NPB, have shown that they can perform effectively even with less rest. This approach might be appealing to teams facing elimination games, but it is crucial to consider the specific circumstances and the overall health of the pitcher.

In conclusion, the decision to not use Jacob deGrom or Max Scherzer in the Mets' elimination game was a strategic one, based on the physical demands of the players, their short-term and long-term health, and the potential financial risks. While immediate victories are desirable, sustaining the team's success over the long term is equally important.