Introduction to Gavin Newsom’s POTUS Ambitions

This article explores the likelihood of California Governor Gavin Newsom becoming President of the United States (POTUS). While it's highly improbable that he will be parachuted in for the election as a replacement, Newsom is clearly positioning himself for a potential run in 2028. His anti-gun stances, fundraising prowess, and strategic moves make him a formidable player in the democratic party.

Current Controversies and Political Goals

Gavin Newsom’s primary goal appears to be becoming POTUS, leading him to push for policies that align with progressive ideals. A notable example is his advocacy for a 28th Amendment, which would likely result in stricter gun control measures. However, his opponents have already begun countering these efforts by highlighting the social and economic issues plaguing San Francisco and Los Angeles during his tenure, such as rampant crime, homelessness, and drug use.

Health Concerns and Potential 'October Surprise'

The possibility of President Biden experiencing a medical event, such as a stroke, has already been discussed in multiple analyses. If this scenario were to emerge, it could indeed provide Newsom with a significant advantage. The situation is often referred to as an "October surprise," as events revealing such a development could disrupt the election timetable. While this is a speculative area, the rapid decline of Biden’s health as documented in recent videos makes this scenario more plausible.

Political Dynamics and Public Perception

Newsom’s influence on California has been significant, but it is also deeply polarizing. Critics argue that he has had a negative impact on the state, and his policies may make him too radical for broader American acceptance. The more radical nature of his stances makes it challenging for him to win over key swing states, which are crucial for victory in the general election. His effectiveness as a debater and his ability to garner favorable media coverage certainly play a role, but these factors may not be enough to secure a win.

Strategic Preparations and Economic Considerations

Newsom is undoubtedly preparing for a 2028 run. His current position as governor of California, where he can take bold progressive stands, enhances his appeal to the fundraising and activist wings of the Democratic Party. However, these progressive positions could backfire in swing states where voters may be more conservative. The economy and oil prices are rapidly changing, creating an uncertain political landscape. If Newsom faces a Republican nominee who is too extreme on social issues, particularly abortion, and if Republicans continue to struggle with ballot issues, 2028 could be the year Newsom seizes his opportunity.

Conclusion

While it is highly improbable that Gavin Newsom will replace President Biden at this election cycle, his strategic moves and political positioning indicate a clear path towards a potential run in 2028. The political and economic uncertainties surrounding the 2024 election might even propel Newsom’s bid earlier. Only time will tell if his ambitious goals for the presidency will be realized.