SSC CGL 2019 Cut-off Predictions: Analysis and Insights
Introduction
The anticipation for cut-off predictions in the Staff Selection Commission Combined Graduate Level (SSC CGL) 2019 exam is palpable among all aspirants. Every detail, every prediction seems to raise chatter and debates. This article aims to dissect the cut-off predictions by different channels and offer a nuanced perspective.
Understanding Cutoff Predictions
Post every SSC exam, aspirants eagerly search for cutoff predictions. The importance of these predictions stems from their ability to provide insights into the probable selection process. Various YouTube channels, such as RBE and Examo, have been predicting cut-off scores based on large datasets and normalization methods. However, these predictions come with their own sets of challenges and assumptions.
Normalization and Its Impact
Two prominent channels, RBE and Examo, have predicted cutoffs based on an analysis of 13,000 aspirants, normalized scores, and their average marks. They claimed an average score of 60 for Tier 3, leading to cutoffs 10 marks tighter than other predictions. However, these claims have been met with criticism.
RBE and Examo
RBE and Examo have taken a unique approach by normalizing the scores of 13,000 aspirants. They claim to have used a rigorous method of normalization, which involves collecting a massive dataset and standardizing the scores. Despite this, they encountered some issues. For instance, they initially suggested that the cutoff would be as high as 600-600 for UR and 590-595 for OBC candidates, but later retracted this claim.
They faced criticism for their method of normalization during the 18th November shift, where 300 students scored 200 marks, while only 10 students from the earlier shifts scored similarly. If these higher scores from the 18th November shift had been normalized to 230 marks, it could have benefitted the 300 students by taking 10 to 15 candidates who scored around 200 marks from the earlier shifts.
Other Predictions
Other channels, which relied on the RBE survey, have predicted cut-off scores based on previous year's cutoffs and normalized marks. They suggested that the DEST posts in 2018 had a cutoff of X, with a difference of Y from the final cutoff. Assuming a similar increase in the next year, they predicted an overall cutoff of 575 for UR and 565 for OBC EWS candidates.
However, these predictions were criticized for using a different approach than normalization. They took the average tier 3 score of 50 and assumed it would be adjusted to 55 for the current year. This led to a cutoff of 575 and 565 for UR and OBC EWS, respectively, which may not accurately reflect the initial predictions of RBE and Examo.
Personal Perspective
Based on my personal opinion, if normalization is done fairly, the cutoff would be 545 to 560 for UR and 572 to 577 for OBC. This takes into account the relative ease of the November 18th paper and the lesser vacancies in 2019 compared to 2018. Assuming an increase of 35 marks for the November 15 and 16 aspirants, the cutoff for UR would be around 590.
While these predictions are valuable, they should be taken with a grain of salt. The process of normalization remains crucial, and only after the scores are normalized will aspirants have a clear idea about the final cutoff.
As of now, most channels are predicting around 570-580 for UR. Shubham Bhai, for instance, has suggested 600-610 for TA. Overall, it is essential to wait for the final normalization process to determine the actual cut-off.
Conclusion
The SSC CGL 2019 cut-off remains a topic of keen interest, with various channels offering predictions. However, it is important to approach these predictions with a critical eye. As the process of normalization continues, aspirants will be better positioned to understand the actual cut-off. For those eagerly awaiting the results, patience and persistence are key.