Impact of Increased Retirement Age on Central Government Vacancies and 2019 Election

The proposal to extend the retirement age of central government employees to 62 years from 60 has generated significant debate, particularly in relation to its implications on employment and the 2019 election.

Cost Efficiency vs. Long-term Disadvantages

While there might be short-term cost savings associated with extending the retirement age, it poses long-term risks to the job market. Prolonging the working lives of older employees can impede the employment opportunities for younger individuals, potentially triggering social unrest.

The job scenario for younger applicants is already grim. If the government fails to immediately fill vacancies as they arise, it risks exacerbating unemployment and dissatisfaction among the youth. This could lead to social disorder, particularly given the high number of fresh graduates entering the job market.

Personal Perspective on Voting Habits

Personal experiences and family decisions can heavily influence political preferences. For instance, one individual, who is a central government employee along with his wife, daughter, and son, states that he and his family members would vote for BJP in the 2019 election. This underscores the personal direction that individuals often take politically in relation to family and individual expectations.

Mathematical Analysis and Voter Density

Despite the proposal, many argue that the probability of BJP winning the 2019 election based on the increase in retirement age is just a mirage. Considering the number of employees nearing retirement and the total voter density, the impact of this change on voter behavior is minimal.

Moreover, extending the retirement age might result in backward movement for job seekers, as fewer annual vacancies become available. This reverses the hope and expectations of young aspirants who aim for government jobs, further complicating the job scenario in the country.

The Modi government's stance on such issues is also noteworthy. They do not view these changes as vote bank tactics, given the low voter density in this context. While BJP, as the current ruling party, might not overtly benefit from this measure, it does border on what some consider 'nonsense.'

Implications on Election 2019

The discussion on extending the retirement age inadvertently ties into election strategies and voter expectations. Realistically, the question of whether this maneuver will influence the election is quite low. The 2019 election is more likely to be influenced by broader economic and social factors, rather than such a specific policy change.

It is important to view the longevity of policies and their broader impact on society. While the change might offer some short-term benefits in terms of economic efficiency, it risks long-term disadvantages, particularly in the job market and social stability.

In conclusion, the BJP's approach to extending the retirement age underscores the complexity of political decisions and their societal implications. While such measures may not significantly impact the election outcomes, they reveal the challenges and complexities of addressing contemporary economic and social issues.