Is Russia’s Absence of Invasion a Test of Mutual Respect and Ideals?

The geopolitical dynamics between Russia, led by President Vladimir Putin, and the West, spearheaded by President Joe Biden, have been tense and significantly influenced by the looming shadow of possible invasion of Ukraine. Recent discussions revolve around whether Russia's decision to refrain from invading Ukraine proves that Putin both fears and respects Biden. To understand this better, let's delve into the underlying motivations and implications of this situation.

The Shared Goals of Russia and the West

It is often stated that Russia does not wish to see Ukraine join NATO. This shared goal is mutual, as the West does not want to deploy troops indefinitely in Ukraine, and Russia does not want the existential threats posed by NATO troops along its borders. The absence of an invasion becomes a critical point of discussion when considering the diplomatic strategies and the respect or fear between these leaders.

Respect and Fear in Diplomatic Relations

Several statements from Russian officials and leaders suggest that they do not fear or respect each other in the conventional sense. Instead, respect in the diplomatic realm often translates to recognition of sovereignty and territorial integrity. Vladimir Putin has always spoken with respect towards Joe Biden, indicating a level of mutual respect not necessarily based on fear. In contrast, Putin and Russia have no one to fear on the global stage. Countries like Russia have proven capable of protecting their sovereignty, while leaders like Biden and NATO express fear concerning Russian actions.

Consequences of invasion

An invasion would not align with Russia’s stated intentions and would breach its previous statements, causing significant strain on its government's credibility. Russian officials and propaganda would struggle to explain such a sudden change in stance, further complicating diplomatic relations.

A Test of Veracity and Diplomatic Credibility

The absence of an invasion serves as a critical test of mutual respect but also of veracity and diplomatic credibility. Russia's continued commitment to its word is a critical point. Over the years, Russian officials have repeatedly stated that they have no plans to invade Ukraine. An invasion would contradict these statements and cast doubt on their reliability.

Key Points of Discussion

1. **No Plan for Invasion**: The absence of an invasion proves what Putin, Russian state officials, Ukrainian leadership, French leadership, and German leadership have been saying all along. There is no plan for Russia to invade Ukraine.

2. **Smoke Screen or Real Issue**: The absence of an invasion helps to highlight the real issue – the US placing missiles in Ukraine, which threatens Russian sovereignty. Russia’s stance on this issue has consistently been clear and unwavering.

3. **No Military Machine**: The narrative that Russia is ready to take over the world is just a smoke screen. The reality is that the period of US global hegemony is waning, and Russia's actions are part of a broader strategy to counterbalance US influence in Eurasia.

Conclusion

The absence of an invasion reveals the true nature of the diplomatic relationship between Russia and the West. It showcases Russia's commitment to maintaining its sovereignty and integrity, and it serves as a test of Biden's and the West's diplomatic skills in finding peaceful resolutions to geopolitical conflicts. As the world continues to navigate this complex landscape, the ongoing dialogue and actions will shape the future of international relations in the years to come.